New French poll: Sarko's lead looks hard to beat

Another French Presidential poll this morning and another saying the same thing - Sarko 54 per cent, Sego 46 per cent.

The Ipsos poll comes with three further useful pieces of information.

The first is that the straight choice between the two remaining candidates has been producing almost exactly the same score since the 27th January of this year. If you follow this link, and take a look at the graph you'll see what I mean.

The second is that the Bayrou vote is not a centre right vote, it is a centre vote. It is split right down the middle - 38 per cent for Sego, 35 per cent for Sarko.

Finally, the Le Pen vote isn't pure protest - it is part of the right. It goes 79 per cent to Sarko.

All of this confirms Murad's analysis yesterday.