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May 28, 2008

Evaluating Lewis's win at Monte Carlo

I have been reading with great interest all the different views on Monaco and especially on Lewis's performance and the debate about luck. A couple of thoughts on this. I originally wrote about the luck factor because, watching the race in the press room, that was undeniably the impression one got at the time.

Lewis had made a biggish error, had slipped down the field, and had got away with it. However it is just as important to emphasise that these were among the most difficult conditions imaginable(not quite as bad as Fuji, though on a totally different track) and Lewis was certainly not alone in making a mistake or mistakes(just think of Felipe, Kimi, Fernando, DC, Timo, Kimi again, Fernando again, Timo again and again, and so on).
Monca_006_3

The question we are left with then is to try to evaluate Lewis's performance. Was it an average win, something unremarkable, or was it great or even historic? First any win at Monaco is going to be special – it still remains the great drivers' track, even if overtaking is well nigh impossible. Second, you could argue that any win in the rain at Monaco is even more precious. It certainly makes a hard challenge a lot, lot harder.

And then the style in which it was accomplished should be taken into account. Apart from that one blemish, Lewis drove exceptionally well and, as several of you have pointed out, he flew round Monte Carlo during his long middle stint. In my notebook I kept a log of the gap over Felipe/Robert as Lewis gradually imposed himself on proceedings. He needed something like 27 seconds to get in and out in his last stop to win.

On lap 41 Lewis was 21.6 seconds ahead of Felipe; by lap 45 he was 26.2 ahead; by lap 52 he was 36.7 in front. This was all faultless, fast driving and delivered under pressure. Of course the strategic lottery was working fortuitously in Lewis's favour but he still produced it when it mattered. It is easy to forget, when looking back at the race, that rain – the threat of more of it in the closing stages which never materialised - was a big factor in the minds of the teams and drivers and, in the end, by luck as much as judgement, McLaren and Lewis got it just right.
Monca_019
So Lewis drove well; he and the team recovered brilliantly from an early setback – something which underlines Lewis's growing maturity – and the prize was theirs. But any dispassionate reading of the race would have to recognise that, as they say in sport, the race "came" to Lewis and McLaren as much as they won it. Obviously in Lewis's life this was an historic win – his greatest he said – but for the rest of us I would argue we should see it in slightly less grandiose terms. Lewis did not destroy the field in qualifying and then drive out of sight; there was a lot more(or less) to it than that. It is interesting for me to find myself accused of down-playing a Lewis win, but I am just trying to get it in perspective.

The debate underlines the most frustrating feature of Formula One and probably most forms of motor racing, namely that it is always so hard to decide just how great a performance a driver has delivered because there are so many other influences to take into account. In this case, there are the relative merits of the Ferraris against the McLarens and the BMWs and all the millions of inputs in the factories, the weather and track conditions, the various strategic and tyre choices made by McLaren and other teams and drivers, the mistakes made by Lewis and other drivers, the weight(fuel-wise) of Lewis's car and everyone else's at each particular stage, the performance of the pit team, events out of a driver's control(accidents) and so on and so on.

Monca_004Given all of the above, one can only imagine how straightforward would it be to report and write about say tennis where it is essentially one man/woman with a racket in their hand, an opponent on the other side of the net(with a very similar racket) and a ball to hit? That is not to say Formula One isn't fascinating but it is hard to distil it down. I have noticed among the nostalgia merchants that they tend to look back on races of past years and forget most of the variables, focussing intently on just the driver as if in a vacuum. "Of course Lewis was imperious that day...no one who saw him could have been in any doubt they were seeing history being made..." etc etc. I still like Robert's drive. No errors, fast, ebullient, second place in the rain at Monaco in a fifth-placed car.

Looking ahead, the Ferrari still looks the better all-rounder. It is going to be tough for Lewis in Canada(it might rain of course). However as one correspondent here pointed out very astutely, Lewis has now got, effectively, a No. 2 driver supporting him in Heikki whereas Felipe and Kimi are - sportingwise - at each other's throats.

By the way, thank you to everyone for advice on computers. I am writing this on an old IBM supplied by The Times which, after the HP, feels like being back home. A Mac, maybe one day...

A note on the pics(crap photographer-new camera!): Images of Lewis and Robert, the two best drivers of the weekend, taken on the inside of Tabac on Saturday morning(Lewis) and at the exit of the chicane after the tunnel(Robert). Also a view of the first section of Swimming Pool to give you an idea of Monaco in threatening weather(again Saturday morning just after it had rained heavily before quali). Click on images to enlarge.   

Posted by Ed Gorman on May 28, 2008 at 02:10 PM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (130) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

Video review of the Monaco GP

A quick look back at the race and what it means in the overall championship...

Continue reading "Video review of the Monaco GP" »

Posted by Times Online on May 28, 2008 at 10:54 AM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (5) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

May 27, 2008

Tim's analysis of Monaco - spot on?

EG writes: Tim sent this insightful view of Lewis's win at Monte Carlo as a comment. It deserves a better "show" as we say in Fleet Street. So here it is. Seems pretty realistic to me, especially the view looking forward which favours Ferrari and the significance of Lewis winning at Monte Carlo and Melbourne. Have a read...(Second page below is McLaren's official de-brief interview with Martin Whitmarsh).

Hamilton

Tim writes: The debate about Lewis Hamilton "riding his luck" to win the Monaco GP seems set to run and run. I'd like to add my piece.

There are two basic questions to consider when assessing how good Lewis' victory was - did Hamilton drive well during the race and did his victory depend on the mistakes and misfortunes of others. In my view, the answer to both questions is yes - Lewis drove very well and fully deserved the win, but he had a few bits of good fortune along the way (without which he would have scored a good result but may not have won).

Whether or not Hamilton did or didn't deserve to win (which could be argued about for a long time), the fact remains that he did. At the end of the day, Lewis comes away from Monaco with 10 points and the lead of the world championship.

The more interesting thing, I think, is what this tells us about how things are set for the remainder of the year. Monaco always seemed likely to be a McLaren track and a Hamilton/McLaren victory had been widely predicted weeks ago - so no surprise there. The real shock of the weekend was qualifying, with the Ferraris locking out the front row of the grid.

Before Monaco, Ferrari were having trouble getting their tyres properly warmed up for qualifying runs. If there was anywhere this problem was going to inflict serious damage on Maranello's race chances it was going to be here - but they qualified 1-2. If Ferrari have managed to resolve their qualifying issues, this could be rather ominous for McLaren and BMW. After qualifying Ron Dennis muttered about strategy but Hamilton looked surprised and disappointed.

The Monaco street circuit is an anomaly on the F1 calendar, it throws up unusual results due to the unique nature of the circuit. Success at Monaco doesn't always translate into success elsewhere. In that sense it's not unlike Melbourne - another fairly unique track which tends to obscure the true performance of teams and drivers. Most other F1 venues feature "normal" race tracks which don't throw up this kind of irregularity. Is it pure coincidence that the two races McLaren have won this year were Melbourne (where Ferrari also turned in an unusually bad performance) and Monaco, while Ferrari have won on the more "standard" tracks?

Fair play to Lewis and McLaren - they did a good job last weekend. In fact, they've done a good job since Bahrain and kept themselves well in contention. But it only goes to reinforce that Ferrari are likely to have an edge for the rest of the year. McLaren can't continue to rely on Ferrari slipping up, the Woking team needs to be able to win at "normal" race tracks if it is to have any chance of controlling its own destiny.

Continue reading "Tim's analysis of Monaco - spot on?" »

Posted by Ed Gorman on May 27, 2008 at 10:55 AM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (39) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

May 26, 2008

Lewis rides his luck to a great win; Robert is faultless

Hamiltonmonaco_2

Back home and computerless on a bank holiday makes blogging tricky. Here is a stab at a race analysis I wrote on Kevin Eason's machine in a one hour before dashing to the airport. In brief I would say Lewis rode his luck and drove well; Robert was excellent; Kimi never turned up - as they say in football; Felipe was respectable(still a proper contender); a heartbraker for Adrian and a poor race from Fernando who, in sailing parlance, was "banging corners" all afternoon(this means taking rash decisions). Looked like a case of red mist at one point...

Hopefully we will get up and running properly again soon....great race though...the perfect antidote to Mosley(itis) whose Monaco was a disaster I would venture.

Posted by Ed Gorman on May 26, 2008 at 10:09 AM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (97) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

May 24, 2008

Mesmeric from Felipe at Monte Carlo

Felipe_massa__343930aWell, well, the balance of power between McLaren and Ferrari on the twisty, low-grip circuits has changed with the Ferraris marching to a surprise and impressive one-two in a dry qualifying session at Monte Carlo. The work put in at Maranello since last year has certainly paid off. However, this should not obscure a breathtaking performance by Felipe who pulled off an excellent final flying lap(1:15:787) to take pole from Kimi(1:15:815), with Lewis back in third(1:15:839) and Heikki fourth(1:16:165).

Continue reading "Mesmeric from Felipe at Monte Carlo" »

Posted by Ed Gorman on May 24, 2008 at 03:36 PM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (55) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

Monaco Gossip

First thing, the temperature has gone down and it's been raining this morning with a forecast for showers today and showers for race day tomorrow. Looks like the wet stuff is going to have a say at some point, if not throughout.

Next, another update on the McLaren garage saga. As you will have seen, it came as a surprise to see McLaren back at garage No5 on the pitlane here, in between Williams and Red Bull, while their vast motorhome(Terminal 6) remains squeezed in at the bottom of the paddock.

Continue reading "Monaco Gossip" »

Posted by Ed Gorman on May 24, 2008 at 08:54 AM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (34) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

May 23, 2008

Swimming Pool; tabbard on

Mon3_018

Mon3_014

This is where I was standing for the post below(Swimming Pool slow section). And above is the offending computer moments before it expired with tabbard and IDR's excellent Ayrton pastiche as desktop background.(My thanks to Kevin Eason for computer access...)Click images to enlarge.

Posted by Ed Gorman on May 23, 2008 at 08:00 AM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (18) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

May 22, 2008

Monaco Scrap Book

Mon2_013 Mon2_050TheMon2_025 crap photographer is back with a new camera, purchased in about five minutes flat at Heathrow Terminal 1 on Wednesday morning, offering you a fairly random selection of bad pictures on a gorgeous day in Monte Carlo. Among the people are Martin Whitmarsh, JYS, DC. The cars are the GP2 beasts during practice. This morning Max appeared briefly and largely silently in the paddock, then we had Formula One first practice; Lewis was immediately on it before Kimi pipped him at the close. Big gap between fourth-ranked Felipe and Nico in fifth(the best of the rest after Ferrari and McLaren) MS is here very prominently at Felipe's side. It's going to be closer, possibly, than people think between the Ferraris and the Mon2_018 McLarens. McLaren seem to be magically back at No 5 in the lane - has the FIA gone all soft on them?

Mon2_004 Mon2_001_4

Posted by Ed Gorman on May 22, 2008 at 12:57 PM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (9) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

May 21, 2008

Monaco GP video preview: Hamilton, Walker and a run round the circuit

Here is a video I have been asked to show. There is some reasonable graphic stuff on the circuit in the second half of it. May not be anything new to most of you, I guess.

You need Flash Player 8 or higher to view video content with the ROO Flash Player. Click here to download and install it.

Posted by Times Online on May 21, 2008 at 01:35 PM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (16) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

May 20, 2008

Ste Devote, Casino Square, Grand Hotel, Rascasse...

Monaco1_021Not all race venues thrill you. Some are dull and lack atmosphere but not so Monaco, despite the fact that the race itself can be something of a yawn(conversely qualifying is electrifying however). I thoroughly enjoyed my first Grand Prix there last year and am eagerly looking forward to the action on the track this time.

Anyone lucky enough to have a paddock pass cannot fail to be impressed by the freedom we get to walk the inside of the circuit while the cars are racing, and to do so within feet of them as they scream by. Going into the tunnel last year was unforgettable - I can't go back(I'm already deaf as it is) - but here is a superb Lhamilton_monaco07_093 picture of Lewis in the MP4-22 by Darren Heath, using a time delay which perfectly captures the shuddering fury of a modern Formula One car in that place(a great candidate for your desktop, maybe).

Another classic spot is at swimming pool where the cars twitch and slide right in front of you. Absolutely amazing. Last year I particularly remember watching Fernando during running on Thursday, swishing and sliding the back end through this section, just doing it on feel and instinct. There is nowhere where the car and the driver seem more as one than on this, the ultimate street circuit. Monaco is a true classic where you can walk the racing line within minutes of the action finishing and where the whole town is taken over by the Grand Prix for five days. Where else can you walk(stagger) out of your hotel and just amble down the hill to the track on a beautiful sunny morning, stopping for a cappucino and the papers on the way?

So what about this year? The general view is that Monaco is a McLaren stronghold but the performance changes in the McLaren and the Ferrari this season may blur this edge or even reverse it. However, this could well be the weekend when Lewis imposes himself. He loves Monaco and some experienced judges - among them Sir Stirling Moss - are expecting his natural skills plus a fast(enough) car will give him a great chance for pole. But who knows? Heikki is proving a sublime qualifier and Felipe is a on roll right now after his excellent win in Turkey. Others to look out for this weekend will be Robert(so long as he can avoid the barriers), Fernando(who has won for the last two years at Monaco and could wrestle the R28 into contention), Mark Webber(who is looking for a fifth consecutive points finish and is described by his team as "in the form of his life") and maybe Nico and/or Sebastian Vettel will show their class. And let's not forget Adrian Sutil a record holder in Formula 3 at Monte Carlo who loves the place.

Looking through some of the technical briefings from the teams, it is striking the degree to which Monaco makes unique demands on the cars and drivers. Essentially they run a "Monaco car" which is unlike any of the others they send to circuits all year. Because there are no super-high speed sections, the set-up is all about maximising mechanical grip and downforce to get through the twists and turns on a slippy and bumpy surface, while minimising drag is not so critical. Apart from the unique aero configuration, the main modifications include increased ride heights(5-7mm above the norm), softer suspension settings, additional steering lock(the first-gear 30mph hairpin at Grand Hotel is the tightest of the year) and purpose built front suspension arrangements to facilitate this.

There has been an interesting debate about the impact of the loss of electronic driver aids and how this will affect drivers at Monte Carlo where there is no margin for error. Ross Brawn has speculated we may see more incident as a result. Last year Kimi made an unforced error during qualifying when he stuffed it into the barriers at Swimming Pool and Lewis ran into Ste Devote on cold tyres. Will we see more of this? I hope for Felipe's sake, that if there are a lot of "driver error" type incidents, he will not be among them.

Pic of Nouvelle Chicane/Ed Gorman The Times(click on pic to enlarge)

Posted by Ed Gorman on May 20, 2008 at 01:12 PM in Monaco | Permalink | Comments (39) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

Edward Gorman

  • Ed Gorman

    Edward Gorman launched his Formula One Blog in 2007 when he started his first full season as Motor Racing Correspondent of The Times. He couldn't have picked a better time. Lewis Hamilton burst onto the scene in spectacular style, locking horns with Fernando Alonso, the McLaren-Ferrari saga gripped the sport and we toasted a new world champion in Kimi Raikkonen. Nominated for Internet Journalist of the Year by the Sports Journalists' Association, Edward's blog promises to be bigger and better than ever in its second season.

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