Where am I?

HOME
  • COMMENT Blogs
Times Online - Leo Lewis: Urban Dirt

Urban Dirt - Times Online - WBLG

Leo Lewis blogs on the Asian markets for timesonline.co.uk - Subscribe to a feed of this Times Online blog at http://timesonline.typepad.com/urban_dirt/rss.xml

« "The government that raises beer prices will surely fall" - old Czech proverb | All Posts | HWBs - a fearsome new acronym - a crucial economic tipping-point? »

December 04, 2007

Put the gun down...everybody just let's calm down, and nobody will get hurt

Dammit. I was wrong.

Back at the beginning of November, when I was feeling a bit bleak about things, I wondered aloud whatSweeneythe  industry the crazed bureaucratic machinery of Kasumigaseki would hunt down and kill next. Food, I felt, was a likely contender, as it seems fairly clear that the general appetite for destruction of mostly innocent sectors is undiminished. Perhaps a tax on Michelin stars is now being mulled in the corridors of METI...

But, according to a piece in today's Nikkei, I was way off. The FSA, with typical blood-lust, wants to go after the entire financial sector. Nothing like going to the root of Japan's real problems. It's so car-crashy. It's like some fearsome Bond villain snickering over a plot to annihilate everything, but with no suave hero available to shoot him and snog his missus. The FSA (says the ever-mistaken Nikkei) is weighing-up new rules on how the banks calculate their core equity capital. Any securitized asset with large price fluctuation risks would be subtracted from the overall figure. Genius.

And what particular nut has the steamroller been called upon to crack? Ah yes, that will be US sub-prime mortgages - an admittedly dangerous asset class, but one that Japan has been shown beyond doubt that it is minimally exposed to. And it is in that relatively happy state chiefly because Japanese financial institutions were such timid little investors when the manky mortgages were being bottled-up and labelled as Triple-A champers. Japanese banks, and the quality of their core equity capital is really, really, not threatened by America's financial cack-handedness.

"By adopting a framework that reduces its Tier-1 core capital if a financial institution pours money into securitized products, the FSA aims to prevent Japanese banks from investing too heavily in such products." reads the frankly bone-chilling Nikkei article.

Yeeeees..... but, er, this bit of madness would fatally hit the banks' ability to raise money. Which is what banks need to do, especially Japanese ones.

I mean, where to start on the astounding intellectual poverty and short-sightedness of this idea? I'll have a go. 1) Surely the whole point of the sub-prime mess is that, for 99% of their lifespan, everyone thought that they were products with virtually no price fluctuation risk. Except upwards.  Yes, yes we know they were bad NOW, but then, Japanese banks are presumably not going to buy any more US mortgage packages NOW, are they? 2) Not a single Japanese bank has its back to the wall on sub-prime, but this proposal suggests they all do. Just like the new construction law suggests that every single architect and construction firm in Japan are liars and con-men. 3) Even the Japanese government knows that the Japanese banks weathered the sub-prime horrors well - after all, when all of the other central banks were flooding their markets with tens of billions in liquidity, the BoJ was sucking it out at an equally impressive rate.

Please. Somebody at the FSA. Just put the gun down. Let's all talk about this like adults and we're all going home in one piece.

Posted by Leo Lewis on December 4, 2007 | Permalink | Comments (0) | TrackBack (0) | Email this post

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/t/trackback/297284/23919036

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Put the gun down...everybody just let's calm down, and nobody will get hurt:

Comments

Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear on this weblog until the author has approved them.

Leo Lewis



  • Leo Lewis is The Times' Asia Business correspondent, relishing the smell of the world's most exciting markets. He has been living in Tokyo since 2003, but dipping in and out of Japan since the very last glory years of the bubble. He plays golf on courses built when Japan Inc. was about to take over the world, but wonders why it's the now the Chinese getting the best tee-off times and Wall Street that owns the clubhouse.

    His 25-year love affair with video games, manga and anime finally culminated in something useful in 2006 - Japanamerica, a book co-written with Tokyo University's Prof Roland Kelts describing the worldwide explosion of Japanese pop-culture.

Recent Comments

  • aragoto on So what exactly DID make Fukuda resign?
  • MBP on So what exactly DID make Fukuda resign?
  • Visitor on iPhone you long time...
  • Mario Barraza on The 10 Wii accessories Nintendo has to make...
  • digital underground on The 10 Wii accessories Nintendo has to make...
  • Jon Lane on The 10 Wii accessories Nintendo has to make...
  • Dylan on The 10 Wii accessories Nintendo has to make...
  • The Judge on The 10 Wii accessories Nintendo has to make...
  • JP on The 10 Wii accessories Nintendo has to make...
  • Helen on The 10 Wii accessories Nintendo has to make...

Recent Posts

  • So what exactly DID make Fukuda resign?
  • iPhone you long time...
  • The 10 Wii accessories Nintendo has to make...

More from Times Online

    • Business News
    • Markets News
    • Economics News
    • Banking & Finance News
    • Construction & Property News
    • Consumer Goods News
    • Engineering News
    • Health Industry News
    • Industrial Sector News
    • Leisure Industry News
    • Media News
    • Natural Resources News
    • Retailing News
    • Telecoms News
    • Money
    • Redundancy Calculator

Urban Links

  • Kotaku, the Gamer’s Guide
  • Geronimo Shot Bar
  • Tokyo City Keiba
  • Japanamerica

Categories

Archives

  • September 2008
  • August 2008
  • June 2008
  • May 2008
  • April 2008
  • March 2008
  • February 2008
  • January 2008
  • December 2007
  • November 2007

Other Times Online Blogs

  • Faith Central

    Urban Dirt

    Alpha Mummy

    BabyBarista

    Ariel Leve

    Big Brother Celebrity Hijack

    Charles Bremner

    Comment Central

    Cricket

    Eco Worrier

    Formula One

    India Knight

    Inside Iraq

    Irwin Stelzer

    Lord Rees-Mogg

    Mary Beard (TLS)

    Money Central

    News

    Sports Commentary

    Peter Stothard (TLS)

    Richard Lloyd Parry

    Ruth Gledhill

    Surf Nation

    Technology

    The Click