West Virginia Blowout Thread

(UPDATE)  What to make of the exit polls? Another very large chunk of Hillary voters (as in Indiana and N Carolina) saying they won't vote for Obama in November. And,  a detail but a disturbingly symbolic one for Obama, very large numbers saying they think Obama essentially shares the views of the fiery Reverend Jeremiah Wright.   

I don't think these numbers are conclusive. Clearly there are going to be potential Democratic voters who will go for McCain over Obama in November.  The question we can't really answer is how many - though we can be just about certain it won't be as many as said they will to the exit pollsters today. The other pertinent questions are: will the massive turnout for Obama we can expect from blacks and presumably young voters outweigh this anti-Obama vote? And will the overhelming advantage the Dems have in any case on the issues and direction of the country (see today's Washington Post poll) be enough to safeguard a wide Dem margin so that Obama can afford to lose a few million and still win?  At this stage I'd say the answer to each of those last two questions is a very tentative "Yes" but really, who knows?

That's what it is.  My rough calculation from the raw exit polls is about a 30-point landslide for Hillary.  It's her second biggest primary victory (after Arkansas - one of her home states) of the whole campaign.

Does it change anything? No.  Obama continues to close in on the number of delegates needed to win the nomination.

But it presumably means she keeps going. She has a chance - a long shot, but a chance - of having a majority of the popular vote (by some measures) when the primaries are over.  That could give her a sliver of an argument that she, not he, has a claim to the Democratic nod.

Comments

[Eric]

Commentator Tucker Carlson made the most salient point in the campaign. He noted that the Dems have not won a majority of the white vote in presidential elections since 1964. Hillary seems to be predicating her remaining campaign on white voters, who will not support the Dem candidate in the majority this November. Simply put, she cannot be nominated without alienating black voters, yet were she to be nominated she could not win without a significant turnout from those same black voters.
Go Super Mac
McCain 08

[Nancy sabet]

Last night Hillary's huge win was a "Referendum "
against media's candidate, Obama, vs. people's
candidate Hillary Clinton. Hillary is our strongest
candidate who will win in Nov., unless Dems don't
really care to win in GE.